Predict that the mouse will disappear in three to five years.

Introduction
The mouse has been born for 40 years. With the emergence of new electronic devices, some people are boldly predicting that the mouse will withdraw from the market within 3-5 years.

The first mouse

Gartner analysts have predicted that the mouse will gradually disappear within three to five years. Instead, it will be a so-called "computer gesture device" such as a touch screen or facial expression recognition device.

Analyst Steve Prentice asserts: "The mouse has something to do with the desktop, but the mission on home entertainment devices or laptops is over." He said his predictions came from consumer electronics companies. Results. Driven by the game, consumer electronics companies are designing products with new interactive interfaces. He said: "Panasonic has shown a forward video for use in a home entertainment center. Unlike traditional remote control devices, you only need to raise your hand and it will recognize your movements. It can also be identified by Your face will bring up the menu on your screen. Just shake your head and you can move or select the menu you want."

Game Guitar Hero

He also Added: "Sony, Canon and other video and camera manufacturers have adopted a technology that can perform real-time face recognition. Even if you smile, it still recognizes your face." He said, "You just have to bring The last headset is equivalent to having an 'emotional' system, what the brain thinks, how the computer will operate. This device is expected to enter the market in September. These are the use of the magic of the computer to make things smarter. Toys."

Exaggerated?

Of course, not all mouse manufacturers will agree that the mouse is eliminated. Rory Dooley said: "The statement that the mouse will be eliminated is overstated." It is the senior vice president of Logitech and the general manager of the control equipment division. Logitech is the world's largest manufacturer of mouse and keyboard, and has sold more than 500 million mice in the past 20 years. "These numbers just show how important the mouse is."

He also agrees that the way people connect to computers is increasing, but their company produces most of them. He said: "Everyone has been discussing the integration of terminals for several years. Now TV can be used as a computer, and computers can also be used as television." He continued to explain: "Although the equipment we use changes with lifestyle. Change, but the mouse won't disappear from here."

Popularity

The mouse was invented by Dr. Douglas Engelbart and at the Stanford Research Center. But he didn't get any copyright revenue from it, in part because his patent expired in 1987, and the mouse has not yet become an integral part of the computer.

Dr. Douglas Engelbart is preparing for the 40th anniversary of the birth of the mouse over the next few days. He believes that Gartner's analysis is too pessimistic if everyone still has online needs. He feels: "Internet browsing can bring technology, education and information in today's world. The most common thing we do is to use the mouse to do it. The number of Internet users is about 1 billion, but the global population is more than 5 billion. So the mouse will even change. It’s more popular than now.”

Touch screen

Gesture device

Hey, how many people are ready, facing the device with embedded video card reader What about various postures?

WiiFit in Wii

Mr. Prentice of Gartner said that there are probably millions of people who have already started trying it, thanks to Nintendo's Wii or iPhone. Smartphone. "On the Wii you can nod your head and shake your head. It will also vibrate. You can build an interaction with the machine. And almost all new generations of smartphones, like the iPhone, have a kind of ' Flip the device', or you can do one or more operations by shaking the phone."

"The past touch screen can only help you zoom in on the picture, quickly scroll, change the size, etc. Multi-touch technology has more powerful and flexible features."

Considering that someone will be saddened by the fact that the proven mouse is about to exit the stage, Mr. Prentice takes a step back and acknowledges that for the foreseeable future The keyboard will remain on the market all the time. "Although there are all kinds of shortcomings, the keyboard is still the most basic text input tool. Nothing can easily replace its position. The idea of ​​integrating the keyboard and mouse together as I mentioned before has failed."